By; JACOB ONJEWU DICKSON
Details of a leaked assessment carried out by a group loyal to the main opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) has revealed that out of the top contending PDP aspirants from Northern Nigeria, Bauchi State Governor, Senator Bala Abdulkadir Mohammed has more chances of getting support from the grassroots in a general elections in 2023.
The assessment, which was carried out by PDP Fact Finding Patriots, a Kaduna based group, saw Bala scoring 55 points, with former Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar from Adamawa State coming second with 32 points.
According to the details of the assessment meant for the PDP National Working Committee, signed by Yusuf Makarfi, President of PDP Fact Finding Patriots, dated
May 11, 2022, former Senate President, Dr. Bukolla Saraki from Kwara State finished third with 28 points, while Sokoto State Governor, Rt. Honourable Aminu Waziri Tambuwal placed fourth with 27 points.
READ THE FUL LEAKED ASSESSMENT BELOW:
PDP FACT FINDING PATRIOTS
No. 1B, Kwato Road, Rimi GRA Kaduna
11th May, 2022
TOUR FOR CONTACT AND MOBILIZATION OF LIFE TERM
DELEGATES, PARTY EXCOS AND STATUTORY DELEGATES WITH
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE ELIGIBILITY IN THE NORTH-WEST
REGION
The above forum has concluded all necessary strategic blueprint and road map in order to proceed on a tour across the North West geo-political zone.
The purpose of this tour is predicated on the need to make effective contact with and mobilization of stakeholders and party influencers with presidential voting capacity.
This tour is time honoured as it requires speed, audacity, convincing power and effective outreach capability that will be deployed in convincing and attracting the delegates towards the sellability qualities and national outlook of His Excellency, Senator Bala Abdulkadir Muhammed (Kauran-Bauchi) which are the landmarks of his Presidential ambition.
These qualities far outpace the other candidates pedigree in some certain criteria which are mentioned below:
UNBIASED INDEPENDENT ASSESSMENT AND APPRAISAL OF THE CONTESTANTS FOR THE PDP 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS
WITHIN THE NORTHERN REGION.
Preamble:
For some time now, the leadership of the party is carefully scheming for the emergence of the most popular candidate in the presidential primary election to avoid protest votes against the party in the 2023 general elections.
2). Remarkably, this forum was founded on the platform and vision of assisting the party stakeholders, delegates, influence peddlers and the PDP NWC/ NEC to understand the mindset of electorate and to also know the importance of opinion polls within the grassroots. So as to easily win in the general elections due to the popularity of candidates.
3). Moving forward, it is germane at this juncture that while we are looking forward toward creating an egalitarian leadership, it has become imperative for the Party, the electorates, religious bodies and even international communities to be integrated into the aspects, vision and entire activities of the Party process.
Doing these, we look forward to a much cohesive, coordinated and result oriented Government to come with credible leadership and strong structure that could unite the Country in reconciliation, development and Security
ASSESSMENT OF THESE BODY:
Below is our assessment and appraisal of the candidates vying for the 2023
PDP PRESIDENTIAL Primary Election From the Northern region, using some criteria and pedigree.
THE FOUR FRONT- LINE ACTORS IN THE RUMOR MILL AND
THEIR CURRENT RATINGS:
- ATIKU ABUBAKAR from ADAMAWA STATE.
- AMINU WAZIRI TAMBUWAL from SOKOTO STATE.
- SEN. BALA A. MUHAMMED from BAUCHI STATE.
- DR. BUKOLA SARAKI FROM KWARA STATE
Ratings /scores along the following Criteria. Maximum score permissible is 10, minimum is 1 and each is an arbitrary score that shall be added to weights for prediction.
PREDICTION CRITERIA:
(ATIKU ABUBAKAR)
1). Followership/Acceptance @ the Grassroots = 6%
2). Followership amongst opinions shapers / shakers = 3%
3). Socio – Economic linkages = 5%
4). Financial muscles to prosecute ambition = 6%
5). Position on key state issues = 3%
6). Strength & willingness = 4%
7). Greatest strength = 4%
Total score = 32%
PREDICTION CRITERIA:
(AMINU WAZIRI TAMBUWAL )
1). Followership/Acceptance @ the Grassroots = 3%
2). Followership amongst opinion
shapers / shakers = 4%
3). Socio – Economic linkages = 3%
4). Financial muscles to prosecute ambition = 5%
5). Position on key state issues = 4%
6). Strength & willingness = 5%
7). Greatest strength = 3%
Total score 27 points.
PREDICTION CRITERIA:
(BALA ABDULKADIR MUHAMMED)
1). Followership/ Acceptance @ the Grassroots = 8%
2). Followership amongst opinion
shapers / shakers = 9%
3). Socio – Economic linkages = 7%
4). Financial muscles to prosecute ambition = 7%
5). Position on key state issues = 8%
6). Strength & willingness =9%
7). Greatest strength = 7%
Total score = 55%
PREDICTION CRITERIA:
( BUKOLA A. SARAKI )
1). Followership/ Acceptance @ the Grassroots = 5%
2). Followership amongst opinions shappers / shakers = 4%
3). Socio – Economic linkages = 4%
4). Financial muscles to prosecute ambition = 4%
5). Position on key state issues = 4%
6). Strength & willingness = 3%
7). Greatest strength = 4%
Total score =28%
CONCLUSION/ DEDUCTIONS
- Based on the above analysis on the man of the match , BALA
ABDULKADIR MUHAMMED BAUCHI STATE =is the most preferred.
CONCLUSION/DEDUCTIONS
- Based on the above analysis on the man of the match , BALA
ABDULKADIR MUHAMMED BAUCHI STATE is the most preferred candidate to lead. - The mean score:
Three of the four actors are below the mean as follows. This prediction model has 95.3% accuracy and the remaining errors shall be deduced as soon as more
activities are considered.
In conclusion, the advantage and political merit of this tour are not going to be over emphasized. As such, we shall not relent on our efforts in promoting the aspiration of an egalitarian statesman and nationality of high repute.
.
Yusuf Makarfi is the President of
PDP Fact Finding Patriots
11th May, 2022
